Herein, we use hybrid resampling to address (a) the long-standing problem of inference on change times and changed parameters in change-point ARX-GARCH models, and (b) the challenging problem of valid confidence intervals, after variable selection under sparsity assumptions, for the parameters in linear regression models with high-dimensional stochastic regressors and asymptotically stationary noise. For the latter problem, we introduce consistent estimators of the selected parameters and a resampling approach to overcome the inherent difficulties of post-selection confidence intervals. For the former problem, we use a sequential Monte Carlo for the latent states (representing the change times and changed parameters) of a hidden Markov model. Asymptotic efficiency theory and simulation and empirical studies demonstrate the advantages of the proposed methods.
We propose a deep learning-based method for object detection in UAV-borne thermal images that have the capability of observing scenes in both day and night. Compared with visible images, thermal images have lower requirements for illumination conditions, but they typically have blurred edges and low contrast. Using a boundary-aware salient object detection network, we extract the saliency maps of the thermal images to improve the distinguishability. Thermal images are augmented with the corresponding saliency maps through channel replacement and pixel-level weighted fusion methods. Considering the limited computing power of UAV platforms, a lightweight combinational neural network ComNet is used as the core object detection method. The YOLOv3 model trained on the original images is used as a benchmark and compared with the proposed method. In the experiments, we analyze the detection performances of the ComNet models with different image fusion schemes. The experimental results show that the average precisions (APs) for pedestrian and vehicle detection have been improved by 2%~5% compared with the benchmark without saliency map fusion and MobileNetv2. The detection speed is increased by over 50%, while the model size is reduced by 58%. The results demonstrate that the proposed method provides a compromise model, which has application potential in UAV-borne detection tasks.
Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of portfolios selection among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated by Fan, Zhang, and Yu. The required high-dimensional volatility matrix can be estimated by using high-frequency financial data. This enables us to better adapt to the local volatilities and local correlations among a vast number of assets and to increase significantly the sample size for estimating the volatility matrix. This article studies the volatility matrix estimation using high-dimensional, high-frequency data from the perspective of portfolio selection. Specifically, we propose the use of pairwise-refresh time and all-refresh time methods based on the concept of refresh time proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen, Hansen, Lunde, and Shephard for the estimation of vast covariance matrix and compare their merits in the portfolio selection. We