Using high-frequency data, we estimate the risk of a large portfolio with weights being the solution of an optimization problem subject to some linear inequality constraints. We propose a fully nonparametric approach as a benchmark, as well as a factor-based semiparametric approach with observable factors to attack the curse of dimensionality. We provide in-fill asymptotic distributions of the realized volatility estimators of the optimal portfolio, while taking into account the estimation error in the optimal portfolio weights as a result of the covariance matrix estimation. Our theoretical findings suggest that ignoring such an error leads to a first-order asymptotic bias which undermines the statistical inference. Such a bias is related to in-sample optimism in portfolio allocation. Our simulation results suggest satisfactory finite sample performance after bias correction, and that the factor-based approach becomes increasingly superior with a growing cross-sectional dimension. Empirically, using a large cross-section of high-frequency stock returns, we find our estimator successfully addresses the issue of in-sample optimism.

In survival analysis, the relationship between a survival time and a covariate is conveniently modeled with the proportional hazards regression model. This model usually assumes that the covariate has a log-linear effect on the hazard function. In this paper we consider the proportional hazards regression model with a nonparametric risk effect. We discuss estimation of the risk function and its derivatives in two cases: when the baseline hazard function is parametrized and when it is not parametrized. In the case of a parametric baseline hazard function, inference is based on a local version of the likelihood function, while in the case of a nonparametric baseline hazard, we use a local version of the partial likelihood. This results in maximum local likelihood estimators and maximum local partial likelihood estimators, respectively. We establish the asymptotic normality of the estimators. It turns out that both methods have

Large-scale multiple testing with correlated and heavy-tailed data arises in a wide range of research areas from genomics, medical imaging to finance. Conventional methods for estimating the false discovery proportion (FDP) often ignore the effect of heavy-tailedness and the dependence structure among test statistics, and thus may lead to inefficient or even inconsistent estimation. Also, the commonly imposed joint normality assumption is arguably too stringent for many applications. To address these challenges, in this article we propose a factor-adjusted robust multiple testing (FarmTest) procedure for large-scale simultaneous inference with control of the FDP. We demonstrate that robust factor adjustments are extremely important in both controlling the FDP and improving the power. We identify general conditions under which the proposed method produces consistent estimate of the FDP. As a byproduct that is

Consider a linear model Y= X + z, where X= X n, p and z~ N (0, I n). The vector is unknown and it is of interest to separate its nonzero coordinates from the zero ones (ie, variable selection). Motivated by examples in long-memory time series (Fan and Yao, 2003) and the change-point problem (Bhattacharya, 1994), we are primarily interested in the case where the Gram matrix G= X X is non-sparse but sparsifiable by a finite order linear filter. We focus on the regime where signals are both rare and weak so that successful variable selection is very challenging but is still possible.

We propose a bootstrap-based robust high-confidence level upper bound (Robust H-CLUB) for assessing the risks of large portfolios. The proposed approach exploits rank-based and quantile-based estimators, and can be viewed as a robust extension of the H-CLUB procedure (Fan etal., 2015). Such an extension allows us to handle possibly misspecified models and heavy-tailed data, which are stylized features in financial returns. Under mixing conditions, we analyze the proposed approach and demonstrate its advantage over H-CLUB. We further provide thorough numerical results to back up the developed theory, and also apply the proposed method to analyze a stock market dataset.